Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2972
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
DL 2972 · MSP → DFW
departs 7:54 AM CT · arrives 10:23 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 9%
Thu 10/8 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 11,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.56 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.