Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 3070 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

DL 3070 · ATL → ILM

departs 9:20 PM ET · arrives 10:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±4 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ILM?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 9pm departures from ATL are often late

↑ Arrivals into ILM at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ILM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.04 in

ILM (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 3070 · ATL → ILM

Odds over time

How late will it get to ILM?