Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 501 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

DL 501 · ATL → LAX

departs 10:25 AM ET · arrives 11:55 AM PT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts −29 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 14% of the time recently

↓ Visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at LAX that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 501 · ATL → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?