Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 501 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, October 4

DL 501 · ATL → LAX

departs 10:25 AM ET · arrives 11:55 AM PT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±4 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 2.0 in of rain forecast at ATL that day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.38 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 501 · ATL → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?