Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1111
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 1111 · RDU → MCO
departs 2:31 PM ET · arrives 4:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 35%
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
15%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
15%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
MCO usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.