Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1257
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 1257 · TPA → LAS
departs 10:40 PM ET · arrives 12:19 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
15%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
15%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.