Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1286
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
F9 1286 · BNA → MCO
departs 11:12 AM CT · arrives 2:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±8 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to MCO?
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On time or early
70%
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15–30 min late
5%
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30 min–1 hour late
12%
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1–2 hours late
8%
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Over 2 hours late
4%
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Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.