Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1689
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
F9 1689 · TTN → TPA
departs 4:26 PM ET · arrives 7:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 40%
Mon 10/5 37%
Thu 10/8 28%
Fri 10/9 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
−23 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −23 pts in 24h
−23 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave TTN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TTN
↓
TTN is quiet at that time
↓
TPA is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
TTN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.04 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.