Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1689
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
F9 1689 · TTN → TPA
departs 4:26 PM ET · arrives 7:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5
Thu 10/8 28%
Fri 10/9 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave TTN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed – in 24h
–
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
TTN is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
TTN (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
TPA (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.