Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1689
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
F9 1689 · TTN → TPA
departs 4:26 PM ET · arrives 7:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 56%
Mon 10/5 37%
Thu 10/8 28%
Fri 10/9 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
24%
Cancelled
7%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave TTN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
17%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,000 ft, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TTN
Weather at each end
TTN (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.63 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.