Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2060
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
F9 2060 · RDU → PHL
departs 2:39 PM ET · arrives 4:13 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 23%
Sun 10/4 42%
Mon 10/5 33%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 24%
Fri 10/9 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at RDU that day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
PHL (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.