Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2060
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
F9 2060 · RDU → PHL
departs 1:30 PM ET · arrives 3:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 60h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 45%
Sat 10/3 19%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 35%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 57%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at RDU that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.34 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.13 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.