Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2072
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
F9 2072 · RDU → PHL
departs 7:46 PM ET · arrives 9:16 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 37%
Fri 10/9 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
71%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
71%
Leave 15+ late
66%
Arrive 1h+ late
53%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 73% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
71%
Yes 71%
No 29%
Leave RDU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 66% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
66%
Yes 66%
No 34%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
28%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
28%
Over 2 hours late
22%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at RDU that day
Weather at each end
RDU (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
PHL (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.