Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2111
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
F9 2111 · PHL → ORD
departs 6:11 PM ET · arrives 7:53 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 64%
Fri 10/2
Sat 10/3 28%
Sun 10/4 44%
Mon 10/5 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 3.8 mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.