Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2112
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 2112 · ORD → PHL
departs 8:58 PM CT · arrives 12:21 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4 58%
Mon 10/5 43%
Thu 10/8 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
8pm departures from ORD are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
0.4 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.36 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.