Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2112
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
F9 2112 · ORD → PHL
departs 8:52 PM CT · arrives 12:15 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Fri 10/2 48%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 53%
Mon 10/5 43%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
8pm departures from ORD are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.