Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2499
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 2499 · PHL → PBI
departs 4:34 PM ET · arrives 7:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 26%
Mon 10/5 31%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
PBI (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.