Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2499
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 2499 · PHL → PBI
departs 4:34 PM ET · arrives 7:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 31%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PBI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at PBI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PBI?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
PBI (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.