Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2507
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
F9 2507 · PHL → MCO
departs 10:11 AM ET · arrives 12:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 41%
Mon 10/5 33%
Tue 10/6 16%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 21%
Fri 10/9 25%
Sat 10/10 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.36 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.