Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2594
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
F9 2594 · MCO → TTN
departs 9:00 PM ET · arrives 11:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 52%
Sun 10/4 42%
Mon 10/5 39%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at TTN more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TTN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at TTN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to TTN?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
TTN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip none
TTN (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.