Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2684
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 2684 · TPA → CLE
departs 10:07 AM ET · arrives 12:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 14%
Wed 10/7 12%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CLE that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.54 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.