Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2684
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 2684 · TPA → CLE
departs 10:07 AM ET · arrives 12:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 12%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA
↑
This flight has been late 15% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
TPA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.