Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2715
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
F9 2715 · RSW → CLE
departs 11:38 AM ET · arrives 2:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 30%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 25%
Fri 10/9 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
−12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CLE that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
↓
RSW is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLE (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.56 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.