Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2715
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
F9 2715 · RSW → CLE
departs 11:38 AM ET · arrives 2:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at CLE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CLE?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at RSW that day
↑
Other factors
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE
Weather at each end
RSW (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.46 in
CLE (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.