Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2741
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
F9 2741 · TTN → MCO
departs 6:05 AM ET · arrives 8:35 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 19%
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 22%
Fri 10/9 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave TTN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
TTN is prone to delays
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
TTN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.04 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.