Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2741
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
F9 2741 · TTN → MCO
departs 6:05 AM ET · arrives 8:35 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave TTN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
TTN is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into MCO at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
TTN (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.08 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.28 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.