Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2757
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 2757 · MCO → CMH
departs 5:40 PM ET · arrives 8:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 15h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 50%
Mon 10/5 32%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 25%
Thu 10/8 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±3 pts
−10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at CMH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CMH?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.10 in
CMH (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.