Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2791
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 2791 · MCO → ORD
departs 8:59 PM ET · arrives 11:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 35%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
12%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip 0.02 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.