Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2867
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 2867 · SJU → MCO
departs 8:52 AM AT · arrives 11:59 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
8am departures from SJU are usually not late
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.