Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2867
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 2867 · SJU → MCO
departs 9:02 AM AT · arrives 12:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
↓
9am departures from SJU are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.