Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2886 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

F9 2886 · DFW → MCO

departs 8:20 PM CT · arrives 12:14 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 45h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±4 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
16%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.69 in

MCO (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 2886 · DFW → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?