Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2953
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
F9 2953 · IAD → TPA
departs 12:28 PM ET · arrives 2:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±6 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to TPA?
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On time or early
71%
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15–30 min late
6%
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30 min–1 hour late
8%
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1–2 hours late
8%
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Over 2 hours late
5%
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Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.