Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2970
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 2970 · DFW → PHL
departs 3:00 PM CT · arrives 7:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 39%
Mon 10/5 40%
Tue 10/6 23%
Wed 10/7 24%
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±3 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
34%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.49 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.