Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2970
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
F9 2970 · DFW → PHL
departs 3:00 PM CT · arrives 7:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Sat 10/3
Mon 10/5 40%
Tue 10/6 23%
Wed 10/7 24%
Thu 10/8 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at PHL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.77 in
PHL (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.