Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2999
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 2999 · MDW → DFW
departs 6:17 PM CT · arrives 8:54 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 41%
Mon 10/5 35%
Tue 10/6 35%
Wed 10/7 28%
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
35%
Cancelled
31%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
22%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
31%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.56 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.