Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3224
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 3224 · DFW → MSP
departs 1:41 PM CT · arrives 4:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 41%
Sun 10/4 26%
Mon 10/5 26%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 18%
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
17%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
1pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.50 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 11,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.