Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 3417
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 3417 · SAT → LAS
departs 9:32 PM CT · arrives 10:19 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at SAT that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
SAT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAT (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 0.76 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.