Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4025
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 4025 · MCO → ATL
departs 5:24 PM ET · arrives 7:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 60%
Sun 10/4 41%
Mon 10/5 40%
Tue 10/6 24%
Wed 10/7 30%
Thu 10/8 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
33%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at ATL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ATL?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.25 in
ATL (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.