Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4241
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
F9 4241 · LAS → RNO
departs 6:30 PM PT · arrives 8:02 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at RNO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to RNO?
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On time or early
66%
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15–30 min late
9%
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30 min–1 hour late
10%
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1–2 hours late
10%
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Over 2 hours late
5%
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Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.