Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4686
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
F9 4686 · MCO → PSE
departs 6:40 AM ET · arrives 9:41 AM AT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 24h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PSE more than 15 minutes late?
8%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to PSE?
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On time or early
91%
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15–30 min late
<1%
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30 min–1 hour late
5%
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1–2 hours late
2%
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Over 2 hours late
1%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.