Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1194
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 1194 · EYW → SFB
departs 3:27 PM ET · arrives 4:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 25%
Fri 10/9 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
17%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, 0.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
Gusts to 45 kt, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at EYW that day
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
EYW usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
EYW (origin)
Gusts 45 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 0.27 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 1.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.