Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1404
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 1404 · TYS → PIE
departs 7:04 PM ET · arrives 8:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 16%
Mon 10/5 14%
Thu 10/8 12%
Fri 10/9 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
−18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −18 pts in 24h
−18 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late
↑
7pm departures from TYS are often late
↓
TYS usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
TYS (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PIE (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.