Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 1786
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 1786 · SFB → ABE
departs 12:13 PM ET · arrives 2:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 25%
Fri 10/9 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±0 pts
+28 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
25%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 56% · changed +28 pts in 24h
+28 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at ABE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
How late will it get to ABE?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
25%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from SFB are often late
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↓
Arrivals into ABE at that hour are usually not late
↓
SFB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 1.04 in
ABE (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.