Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 254
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 254 · PIE → AVL
departs 9:30 PM ET · arrives 11:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 44%
Fri 10/9 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
−16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from PIE are often late
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AVL
Weather at each end
PIE (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.