Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 413
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 413 · EYW → CVG
departs 11:57 AM ET · arrives 2:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 21%
Fri 10/9 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
25%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
25%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at EYW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CVG that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
↓
11am departures from EYW are usually not late
Weather at each end
EYW (origin)
Gusts 45 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 0.27 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.