Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 427
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 427 · ELM → MYR
departs 6:45 PM ET · arrives 8:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 24%
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at MYR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave ELM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at MYR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MYR?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into MYR at that hour are often late
↓
ELM usually runs smoothly
↓
Visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at MYR that day
Weather at each end
ELM (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.01 in
MYR (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.