Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3387
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
MQ 3387 · DFW → AMA
departs 2:29 PM CT · arrives 3:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 31%
Mon 10/5 16%
Fri 10/9 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AMA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at AMA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to AMA?
On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1.25 mi forecast at AMA that day
↑
2pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into AMA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
AMA (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.