Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3394
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
MQ 3394 · HSV → DFW
departs 5:00 AM CT · arrives 7:11 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Fri 10/2
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
20%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.3d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
20%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
HSV is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HSV
Weather at each end
HSV (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.57 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.