Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3394
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
MQ 3394 · HSV → DFW
departs 5:00 AM CT · arrives 7:11 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 29%
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.3d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at HSV that day
↑
HSV is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from HSV are usually not late
Weather at each end
HSV (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 1.09 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.