Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3417
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3417 · BHM → DFW
departs 7:05 PM CT · arrives 9:20 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 48%
Sun 10/4 38%
Mon 10/5 24%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave BHM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
BHM is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BHM
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BHM (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.